Following his second landing of the night time, Miami receiver C.J. Daniels regarded instantly into the ESPN digital camera and sang the FSU warchant.
The U isn’t simply again — so is its swagger.
Miami owns the state of Florida, flattening South Florida, Florida and Florida State, additional cementing its case for the highest workforce within the nation. Penn State’s beautiful loss at UCLA doesn’t assist Oregon. Texas shedding in The Swamp doesn’t assist Ohio State.
Miami incomes its first street win — in opposition to an FSU workforce that beat a now-surging Alabama — helped the Canes additional legitimize what could possibly be their first No. 1 rating within the CFP period. The 13-member choice committee doesn’t launch its first rating till Nov. 4, however that is the most recent projection of what the group’s prime 12 would appear like if it had been launched right this moment.
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Rating | Bracket
Why they could possibly be right here: The Canes have the very best mixture of eye check and résumé, with wins in opposition to Notre Dame, South Florida, Florida and now Florida State. The Canes earned their first street win of the season, they usually did it in opposition to their in-state rival, formally claiming the unofficial state title. Miami additionally entered Week 6 ranked No. 10 within the nation in whole effectivity, and No. 4 in ESPN’s Power of File metric. The Canes are checking the entire bins for the committee’s No. 1 workforce, together with star energy with quarterback Carson Beck and defensive lineman Rueben Bain Jr.
Why they could possibly be decrease: Undefeated Ohio State gained at Minnesota, however it’s exhausting to think about the committee giving the Buckeyes the nod for the highest spot given Miami’s résumé — except they really believed Ohio State is extra gifted.
Have to know: That was doubtless Miami’s final probability to impress the choice committee in opposition to a ranked opponent. It gained’t matter if the Canes proceed to play like this. Miami can clinch a spot within the playoff if it wins the ACC — which it’s on observe to do — however even a runner-up end ought to cement a spot.
Hardest remaining recreation: Nov. 1 at SMU. Miami ought to win this recreation — it’s the extra gifted workforce — however it’s not a straightforward journey. And it is going to be the primary time all season that Miami leaves its house state.
Why they could possibly be right here: The season-opening win in opposition to Texas is nice — however not nice — after Texas misplaced at Florida on Saturday. The Buckeyes’ place within the pecking order is much less about one standout win and extra concerning the regular consistency anticipated from a nationwide title contender. They’ve gained on the street in opposition to an honest Washington workforce that simply rallied for a street win at Maryland, and at house in opposition to Texas and Minnesota. The committee doesn’t simply search for wins in opposition to prime 25 groups; additionally they worth wins in opposition to opponents over .500, and Ohio State now has three Energy 4 wins in opposition to such groups.
Why they could possibly be larger: Miami hasn’t left its house state but, and Ohio State entered this week No. 3 within the nation in defensive effectivity, No. 12 in offensive effectivity, and No. 3 total — forward of the Canes in every class.
Have to know: Saturday’s recreation at Illinois instantly seems to be extra daunting than the Nov. 1 house recreation in opposition to Penn State. The truth is that Ohio State ought to win each, however Illinois is coming off back-to-back Massive Ten wins in opposition to USC and Purdue, whereas the Nittany Lions had been surprised at UCLA.
Hardest remaining recreation: Nov. 29 at Michigan. Sound acquainted? Ohio State has misplaced to its rival 4 straight occasions, and the Wolverines are beginning to discover their id with freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood. Michigan beat Wisconsin on Saturday for its third straight win since shedding in Week 2 at Oklahoma.
Why they could possibly be right here: The Geese had a bye week to recuperate following their double time beyond regulation street win at Penn State, and each groups above them gained. Oregon’s win in opposition to the Nittany Lions was diminished following Penn State’s loss at winless UCLA, and it was additionally the Geese’ first win in opposition to an FBS opponent above .500.
Why they could possibly be larger: Oregon has been dominant in opposition to the weaker groups, and located a strategy to beat Penn State on the street in a hostile whiteout surroundings. The committee could possibly be extra impressed with Oregon’s cross-country win in opposition to two-loss PSU than Ohio State’s house win in opposition to Texas now that each have two losses. The Geese have two street wins in comparison with Miami’s one.
Have to know: If Oregon doesn’t beat Indiana subsequent week, and it finishes 11-1, the Geese would nonetheless be within the playoff, however they won’t be within the Massive Ten title recreation. Oregon doesn’t play Ohio State or Michigan throughout the common season. If Ohio State is undefeated, and Indiana and Oregon are the league’s solely different one-loss groups, IU would have the head-to-head tiebreaker (Penn State would have two losses, to Oregon and Ohio State). Due to the change in seeding this 12 months, Oregon can nonetheless earn one of many prime 4 seeds and a first-round bye even when it doesn’t win the Massive Ten. This 12 months, the highest 4 seeds go to the committee’s prime 4 groups — no matter if they’re convention champs.
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 11 vs. Indiana. This may be the final ranked opponent the Geese face throughout the common season following USC’s loss to Illinois final week.
Why they could possibly be right here: The Aggies have gained three straight video games in opposition to sturdy opponents, additional proving that the Sept. 13 win at Notre Dame wasn’t an anomaly. Saturday’s win was in opposition to a Mississippi State workforce that has regarded much-improved from a 12 months in the past, and the Sept. 27 house win in opposition to Auburn remains to be in opposition to an SEC workforce above .500. The nonconference street win in opposition to the Irish, although, stays the most effective within the nation and can proceed to separate the Aggies so long as the Irish preserve successful, which they did once more on Saturday in opposition to Boise State.
Why they could possibly be decrease: Ole Miss has a case to be ranked above the Aggies due to its spectacular efficiency within the win in opposition to LSU, and its total physique of labor, which incorporates three SEC wins and a win in opposition to Tulane.
Have to know: The Aggies entered Saturday ranked No. 1 in ESPN’s Power of File metric, which suggests the common prime 25 opponent would have only a 20.1% probability of reaching the identical undefeated report in opposition to the identical opponents.
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 25 at LSU. That is the center recreation in three straight street journeys, and whereas LSU’s offense has been common, its protection can be the most effective the Aggies face this season.
Why they could possibly be right here: The Rebels had a bye week however earned their first assertion win on Sept. 27 in opposition to LSU. They’ve now gained 4 straight video games in opposition to respectable opponents, together with three SEC groups (LSU, Arkansas and Kentucky). The Sept. 20 win in opposition to Tulane will even be valued by the committee, because the Inexperienced Wave stay in rivalry for a playoff spot if they’ll win the American Convention. General, this is without doubt one of the stronger résumés of the contenders, however Ole Miss can be passing the attention check as a whole workforce.
Why they could possibly be decrease: Kentucky and Arkansas are a mixed 4-6, and Georgia State is 1-4 within the Solar Belt.
Have to know: The Rebels have one of many extra winnable remaining SEC schedules of the contenders, with back-to-back journeys to Georgia and Oklahoma their largest looming obstacles. The undefeated Rebels even have one thing key to impressing the choice committee — two quarterbacks able to beginning. The play of backup quarterbacks is essential to the choice course of (it saved undefeated ACC champ Florida State out of the CFP in 2023, however helped Ohio State in throughout the 2014 season). With Austin Simmons injured, it’s clear backup Trinidad Chambliss is greater than able to main a workforce towards an SEC title run.
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 18 at Georgia. The Rebels even have an Oct. 25 journey to Oklahoma, however it’s unclear if the Sooners could have injured beginning quarterback John Mateer again by then (unlikely).
Why they could possibly be right here: The Tide beat Vanderbilt, and continued to point out measurable enchancment since a season-opening loss at Florida State. Alabama has now earned back-to-back wins in opposition to ranked opponents, together with on the street in opposition to Georgia. As a result of Florida State misplaced to Miami and now has two losses, the Noles’ season-opening win in opposition to Alabama can be much less of an element within the committee assembly room. Their information are not comparable, which opens the door for the committee members to ignore that tiebreaker of their protocol.
Why they could possibly be larger: Each workforce ranked forward of Alabama is undefeated, so if the committee goes to push the Tide forward of certainly one of them, it might be as a result of they worth wins in opposition to Georgia and Vandy greater than a number of the contenders above them — which is feasible. However FSU shedding to Miami on Saturday doesn’t assist the Tide’s case. Quite a lot of it might rely on the place the committee had Georgia, Vandy and FSU ranked.
Have to know: Heading into Saturday, Alabama had the very best probability of any workforce within the SEC to achieve the convention title recreation (53.4%) and win it (34.5%).
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 11 at Missouri. The undefeated Tigers had a bye week to arrange, they’ll have home-field benefit, and would be the third straight ranked opponent Alabama faces. The Tide at the very least will get Tennessee, LSU and Oklahoma at house.
Why they could possibly be right here: The undefeated Sooners beat Kent State with backup quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr., who was enjoying for injured starter John Mateer. Whereas beating a 1-4 Mid-American workforce isn’t going to earn the Sooners any factors with committee members, the group will respect the play of OU’s backup quarterback and the actual fact the Sooners nonetheless left little question they had been the higher workforce. Oklahoma’s Week 2 win in opposition to Michigan stays one of many higher nonconference wins, because the Wolverines beat Wisconsin and have gained three straight.
Why they could possibly be larger: The Sooners are undefeated, and Alabama’s loss to Florida State took one other hit on Saturday night time when the Noles misplaced to the Canes. The win in opposition to Michigan is a nonconference increase Alabama doesn’t have. This may settle itself on the sector on Nov. 15 in Tuscaloosa if it doesn’t earlier than then.
Have to know: Six of Oklahoma’s subsequent seven opponents are ranked, and it’s nonetheless unclear if Mateer can be cleared to play in time for Saturday’s Crimson River Rivalry recreation. The committee’s protocol requires their consideration of things like accidents to key gamers. So long as Mateer’s out of the lineup, the committee will rank the Sooners based mostly on in the event that they appear like a top-12 workforce with Hawkins Jr. within the lineup. OU has some margin for error, and it has loads of alternatives to compensate for a loss or two.
Hardest remaining recreation: Take your decide. The Sooners could possibly be dealing with rival Texas on Saturday with out Mateer, however the very best workforce they’ll face proper now seems to be like Ole Miss on Oct. 25. OU could have home-field benefit, however the Rebels may be probably the most full and constant workforce within the SEC proper now.
Why they could possibly be right here: The Bulldogs did what they had been anticipated to do: They beat an unranked Kentucky workforce that continues to be winless in SEC play. The Sept. 13 time beyond regulation win at Tennessee is the spotlight of Georgia’s playoff résumé thus far. The shut loss to Alabama on Sept. 27 will preserve the Dawgs behind the Tide within the rating due to the head-to-head consequence so long as the information are comparable, which they nonetheless are after Alabama beat Vanderbilt on Saturday. That very same tiebreaker will preserve Georgia forward of the Vols.
Why they could possibly be decrease: The committee may have the Hoosiers ranked larger as a result of they’re undefeated. Wins in opposition to Austin Peay and Marshall additionally aren’t doing something to assist Georgia’s résumé.
Have to know: ESPN’s FPI initiatives Georgia will win every of its remaining video games. The regular-season finale in opposition to rival Georgia Tech may impression seeding as a result of the Yellow Jackets are in place to play for the ACC championship. If Georgia will get a win in opposition to the ACC champs or runner-up, Georgia may earn the upper seed on the Jackets’ expense due to the head-to-head consequence. That would imply the distinction between a house recreation or a first-round bye.
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 18 vs. Ole Miss. The Rebels, who had a bye week earlier than internet hosting Washington State on Oct. 11, ought to be undefeated heading into Athens.
Why they could possibly be right here: The Hoosiers had a bye week earlier than a tough journey to Oregon, they usually’re coming off back-to-back Massive Ten wins in opposition to Illinois and Iowa. The jaw-dropping efficiency within the 63-10 beatdown of the Illini is probably the most spectacular win on IU’s résumé, however a lot of the groups ranked larger have defeated a extra elite opponent. The committee members would know, although, that Iowa is a notoriously tough place to win.
Why they could possibly be larger: Not like a number of groups listed above, Indiana hasn’t misplaced — and for probably the most half, they’ve regarded good within the course of.The committee would additionally notice that the Hoosiers entered Saturday No. 5 in defensive effectivity, and No. 17 in offensive effectivity.
Have to know: Indiana doesn’t play Ohio State or Michigan throughout the common season, however it has a harder path to the playoff with journeys to Oregon and Penn State. If the Hoosiers end 10-2, they are going to be in a precarious playoff place due to their nonconference schedule (Outdated Dominion, Kennesaw State and Indiana State).
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 11 at Oregon. The Hoosiers may earn the most effective wins within the nation and this system may attain a brand new degree with an upset on Saturday.
Why they could possibly be right here: The undefeated Crimson Raiders earned a street win in opposition to beforehand undefeated Houston, they usually even have a convincing 34-10 street win in opposition to Utah. The committee would contemplate that Texas Tech asserted itself in opposition to two respectable convention opponents, and did it on the street. In addition they received beginning quarterback Behren Morton again on Saturday from damage. Texas Tech received a lift within the rating this week on the expense of Penn State, which fell out totally after its street loss to UCLA.
Why they could possibly be decrease: Kent State is 1-4, Oregon State is 0-6, and Arkansas-Pine Bluff is an FCS workforce. The committee additionally tracks opponents’ opponents — and Houston doesn’t have any spectacular wins. Despite the fact that the Vols have one loss, the committee may deem them the higher workforce and provides them the sting for beating Syracuse and Mississippi State.
Have to know: Heading into Week 6, Texas Tech had the very best probability of reaching the Massive 12 title recreation (52.3%) and the very best probability to win it (31.5%), in accordance with ESPN Analytics.
Hardest remaining recreation: Nov. 8 vs. BYU. With Friday night time’s win in opposition to West Virginia, BYU stays undefeated, leaving Texas Tech and BYU as the one two Massive 12 groups nonetheless undefeated total.
Why they could possibly be right here: The Vols had a bye week, however the time beyond regulation street win at Mississippi State and the season-opening win in opposition to Syracuse are maintaining them in rivalry proper now. The 45-26 win in opposition to the Orange is best than another contenders’ nonconference wins — and the committee will comprehend it got here in opposition to a wholesome beginning quarterback, Steve Angeli. With Angeli out and injured, although, Syracuse has fallen to 3-3. The time beyond regulation loss to Georgia is hardly a “dangerous loss,” however the Vols may use some true assertion wins within the second half of the season to maneuver right into a safer spot.
Why they could possibly be larger: The committee has ranked one-loss groups forward of undefeated groups earlier than, and it may merely be a matter of the group believing Tennessee has a greater mixture of wins and expertise.
Have to know: Getting into Week 6, ESPN’s FPI projected the Vols will win every of their remaining video games apart from the Oct. 18 journey to Alabama. If that had been to carry true, the Vols would have a robust case to return to the playoff at 10-2, however wouldn’t be a lock. What if Notre Dame finishes 10-2? They’d each have good losses, however the Vols would possibly win the résumé battle. Eye check will matter, too.
Hardest remaining recreation: Oct. 18 at Alabama. The Tide is getting higher every week, however it is going to be coming house from a tricky street journey to Mizzou. If Alabama loses that recreation, it is going to be below super strain in opposition to the Vols to keep away from a 3rd loss. If the Tide wins, it is going to be bringing some main playoff momentum house.
Why they could possibly be right here: The committee would additionally in all probability contemplate undefeated Georgia Tech for this spot, however their protocol additionally asks them to check frequent opponents with out incentivizing margin of victory. Georgia Tech beat Clemson at house by three factors, whereas LSU beat the Tigers at Clemson by a landing. The truth that LSU needed to go on the street would give them a slight edge, however the committee would additionally know that Georgia Tech wanted time beyond regulation to beat Wake Forest, and the ACC conceded an officiating mistake in that recreation that might have given the Demon Deacons a essential first down. The missed name allowed Georgia Tech to increase its drive and win in time beyond regulation.
Why they could possibly be decrease: LSU didn’t look very similar to a playoff workforce in its 24-19 loss at Ole Miss on Sept. 27. The offense struggled and the protection gave up too many large performs. The committee may favor Georgia Tech extra as a result of it hasn’t misplaced and quarterback Haynes King has been one of many hardest within the nation.
Have to know: If the playoff had been right this moment, LSU would get bumped out of the CFP throughout the seeding course of to make room for the fifth highest-ranked convention champion, which is assured a spot within the discipline.
Hardest remaining recreation: Nov. 8 at Alabama. LSU is getting into a season-defining stretch, with three of the following 4 video games in opposition to ranked opponents. The Oct. 18 journey to Vandy gained’t be straightforward, however Bama simply wrote the blueprint to beat the Commodores. LSU will get Texas A&M at house.
Primarily based on the rankings above, the seeding could be:
First-round byes
No. 1 Miami (ACC champ)
No. 2 Ohio State (Massive Ten champ)
No. 3 Oregon
No. 4 Texas A&M (SEC champ)
First-round video games
On campus, Dec. 19 and 20
No. 12 Memphis (American champ) at No. 5 Ole Miss
No. 11 Tennessee at No. 6 Alabama
No. 10 Texas Tech (Massive 12 champ) at No. 7 Oklahoma
No. 9 Indiana at No. 8 Georgia
Quarterfinal video games
On the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Introduced by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.
No. 12 Memphis/No. 5 Ole Miss winner vs. No. 4 Texas A&M
No. 11 Tennessee/No. 6 Alabama winner vs. No. 3 Oregon
No. 10 Texas Tech/No. 7 Oklahoma winner vs. No. 2 Ohio State
No. 9 Indiana/No. 8 Georgia winner vs. No. 1 Miami