Ukraine is conducting more and more profitable airstrikes on targets inside Russia, and Ukrainian drone and missile assaults are prone to proceed inflicting progressively higher harm as stress on Russia's air defence techniques grows.

Supply: Ants Kiviselg, Head of the Estonian Defence Forces Intelligence Centre, as reported by European Pravda, citing Estonian public broadcaster ERR

Quote: "The continuously rising depth and increasing geographical scope of Ukraine's drone and missile assaults, together with the rising variety of assault weapons and wider ranges of these weapons, is actually prone to pose increasingly more severe issues for the Russian Federation within the close to future."

Particulars: As examples from the previous week, Kiviselg pointed to Ukrainian strikes on a missile and artillery ammunition depot in Russia's Kostroma Oblast and on a defence plant in Lipetsk Oblast.

Quote: "The Russian Federation has acknowledged in publicly accessible sources that Ukraine has attacked targets in Moscow Oblast each day up to now this 12 months."

Particulars: Kiviselg stated that given the variety of high-value targets and their huge distribution throughout Russia, in addition to the quantity of air defence munitions expended by the Russian armed forces throughout the struggle and the variety of air defence techniques which were destroyed, "it may be estimated that in 2026, the exercise in addition to accuracy of Ukraine's long-range strikes will rise, and harm to the Russian armed forces and financial system will enhance even additional".

Quote: "This, in flip, reduces Russia's capability to each proceed the struggle and develop the Russian narrative that it has inexhaustible sources and subsequently the flexibility to wage struggle for so long as obligatory. In different phrases, we are able to see that each the Russian Federation's defence capabilities and its resilience to some of these assaults towards Ukraine are prone to decline in 2026."

Background:

• In December, Kiviselg predicted that Ukraine must interact in heavy defensive battles within the months forward except peace talks advance.
• In October, Estonian intelligence warned that Russia would intensify strikes on Ukraine's important power infrastructure throughout the upcoming winter, searching for to inflict most harm on the civilian inhabitants.

Assist Ukrainska Pravda on Patreon!